真的有一种悲哀，没有眼泪，只能目送

愿你在怀疑世界时 还会被温暖 被感动

Today's to do list

1. hahah

Time flies

• Three weeks left this month

• 19th conference presentation

• Finish a draft of Ag market integration paper

• Focus on yourself

• Adhere to your plan

Ag market integration

• Future global or regional economic and environmental consequences are highly sensitive to scenarios of ag globalization

• Q: Historically, how ag market integrated? How trade pattern and volume changed?

• Q: Per economic modeling, SSPs specified narratives by the magnitude of global market integration. However, models may have different implementation and future trade assumptions.

  • Across marker models, how future trade scenarios were incorporated for SSPs? What is the difference theoretically?

  • Role of PTA, Non-tariff barrier (NTB), and others

  • In economic literature, are there established dynamic scenarios of future market integration?

• Q: How sensitive is future projections to future market integration.

6/14/2020

A bit heavy task day

1. Figure out a way to change share-weight and logit exponent for trade parameters as xml add-on

   • Figure out SSP4 treatment

   • It turned out that the value that share-weight converges to does not matter, since the relative share-weight will converge at a constant rate over time.

   • The target year/periods set would matter or say the speed of convergence.

   • That is, we can assume that relative share-weight is converging to 1, e.g., reaching 1 in the same target year. Different target year would determine the relative converging speed.

   • Logit exponents should also increase over time...

2. Summarize literature of SSP marker models in their future trade adjustments

   • Either tariffs or other sorts of adjustments

   • And also trade structure

3. CET and Logit are different in some way

   • The could derive the same sharing formula

   • Figures

4. OTAQ trade paper responses

5. GTAP conference slides

Happy wife, happy life!

People are so concentrated, evolved, immersed, attentive in the life they imagined. Don't be drown!

6/28/2020

• AAEA submission

  • 2 posters & 1 paper

  • Clearance

  • Poster sent to Farzad

6/29/2020

• GCAM runs

  • Test generating xml with both logit exponent and share weight

    • Pull logit share-weight of trade from the core run or calibrate share-weight based on data?

      • No! calibrate based on cost and quantity data...

    • sw_international_sector_region: 16 sectors * 32 regions

    • sw_regional_importing region_sector_(dom & imp): 32 imp reg * 16 sectors * 2

  • Process 2015 share-weight in R

    • Conversion between sw_GCAM and sw_theory

    • Interpolation

• nc paper

  • rewriting

  • Storage discussion

张维为 a young guy back in 60s.

少年智则国智，少年富则国富，少年强则国强，少年独立则国独立，少年自由则国自由，少年进步则国进步，少年胜于欧洲，则国胜于欧洲，少年雄于地球，则国雄于地球

9/19/2020

Work on CV; send to Ben

Prepare for Tuesday's meeting

Paper writing EconMod

Linkedin Premium...

Data R learning!

Gratuitous

confetti

inadvertently